Why are tradespeople (relatively) left-wing?

In the outpouring of commentary about the NSW election the old stereotype of conservative tradesman reappeared. I looked at the 2010 Australian Election Survey. Unfortunately it asked few questions with a direct relevance to class politics. Past scholarship did address this question Class Analysis and Contemporary Australia sought to test Marxist and Weberian models of […]

Further NSW thoughts

In the end the NSW election went as the polls predicted. Any very large swing tends to be somewhat irregular perhaps because traditional patterns of voting are disrupted. Labor sympathisers made much of the Greens disappointing performance. There would have been a time when for a political force to the left of the ALP to […]

Julia Gillard and the 1960s

Julia Gillard’s recent declarations of cultural conservatism are curious and hardly worth taking seriously, apparently gay marriage is an enemy of ‘thrift’. It is part of a pattern of some on the centre-left imagining a mythic socially conservative past for the left before the 1960s appeared. It is quite fictitious if we consider the Curtin-Chifley […]

Thoughts on NSW election

RIPT select Syd LG 81-01(BTRE)

1. Opinion polls should be taken seriously, many doubted that Labor would do as poorly as it did at the federal and Victorian elections of last year but it did; 2. Big swings mean the loss of ‘safe’ seats, in 1932 Labor lost Granville where they had polled 70.2% at the preceding election in 1930. […]

What do Labor and Green voters think of each other?

AES_1998-2010_views of Greensjpg

Further to last post I continue examination of the beliefs of Australians as revealed in the Australian Election Survey from 1998 to 2010. Asking voters were they position themselves on a left-right spectrum where 0 is furthest to the left and 10 furthest to the right might seem abstract but analysis suggests that these classification […]

Facts on the 2010 election

The 2010 election and Labor’s near defeat have been endlessly discussed by the media but until now we little clear evidence as to exactly what happened. After each federal election a comprehensive survey is undertaken by the Australian National University. The dataset for the 2010 survey was made available in late December. However it was […]

Obama and Gillard’s prospects compared

2010 was a difficult year for the Australian Labor Party and the American Democrats. Media coverage goes in waves; it was slow to catch up with Labor’s woes and perhaps has overstated Obama’s difficulties. Much was made of the Democrats’ poor performance in the Congressional elections. Little attention was given to the fact that they […]

Following in the footsteps of the CPRS?

Labor is showing the signs of becoming obsessed about the Greens the same way they became obsessed by John Howard. Labor ministers have a point when they criticise the Greens for voting against the Rudd government’s Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme but they sound rather like Greens complaining correctly that voters wildly overestimate the significance of […]

Labor wasn’t saved by the goldfields after all

This was a very good result for the Coalition. Obviously Labor had weakness but the Coalition had to be in a position to take advantage of them and to survive the scrutiny of an election campaign. Whereas in NSW and Queensland the opposition wilted under the pressure of an election campaign the Coalition flourished. The […]